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2020年煤市價格重心將繼續下移

日期:2019-12-26  來源:中國冶金報  責任編輯:網絡運營部

篮球比分JINNIANQIAN11GEYUE,QUANGUOMEITANSHICHANGGONGXUYOUZONGTIPINGHENGXIANGKUANSONGFANGXIANGZHUANBIAN,MEIJIAWENZHONGYOUJIANG,MEITANXIAOFEIZENGSUFANGHUAN,MEITANSHICHANGCHENGXIAN“WANGJIBUWANG、DANJIYEBUTAIDAN”DETEDIAN。

 

煤炭市場旺季不旺、淡季不淡

 

JINNIANCHU,MEITANSHICHANGDIWEIZHENDANG,MEITANQIYEFASHENGDUOQIKUANGNAN:1YUE12RI,YULINBAIJIKUANGYEFASHENGTEDAKUANGNAN,ZAOCHENG21RENSIWANG;2YUE23RI,NEIMENGGUYINMANKUANGYEFASHENGTEDAANQUANSHENGCHANSHIGU,ZAOCHENG22RENSIWANG;12YUE17RI,GUIZHOUANLONGXIANGUANGLONGMEIKUANGFASHENGYIQIMEIYUWASITUFASHIGU,ZAOCHENG14RENSIWANG……LIANXUDEKUANGNANSHIGUYINFAANQUANSHENGCHANGUANZHUDUDEZOUSHENG,MEITANCHANQUSHENGCHANSHOUDAOJIAODAYINGXIANG,ZHISHIGONGGEICEQUDONGCHENGWEIMEISHISHANGBANNIANDEZHUDAO,MEITANJIAGESHANGZHANG,DANGANGKOUMEIJIAZHANGSHIBUJICHANQU。

 

YOUYUXUQIUDIMI,GANGKOUMEIJIALVXIANXIADIE。BEIFANGGANGKOUXIANHUOJIAGECHIXUZOUDIZHIZHI6YUEZHONGXUN。YINYINGFENGDUXIAYUQILUOKONG,MEITANSHICHANGWANGJIBUWANG。XIAJI,YOUYUDIANCHANGMEITANKUCUNCHUYUGAOWEI、XUQIUBUDA,MEITANSHICHANGNIJIJIEXINGZHOUQIZOUSHIMINGXIAN。

 

篮球比分DISANJIDU,JIAGEDILIANDEJINKOUMEIDALIANGJINRUGUONEISHICHANG,XIAYOUYONGHUYAJIACAIGOU。JINGUANMEIJIACHUXIAN3CI3YUAN/DUN~6YUAN/DUNDEFANDAN,DANSHIMEITANSHICHANGYUNXINGDEZONGTIQUSHIHUANSHIXIADIE,MEITANJIAGECONG7YUECHUDE614YUAN/DUNDIEZHI10YUECHUDE587YUAN/DUN。CIHOU,MEITANSHICHANGBAOCHIDIWEIPAIHUAI、XIANGDUIWENDINGYUNXINGDETAISHI。

 

篮球比分JINRUDISIJIDU,JINKOUMEISHULIANGJIANSHAO,JIANRUOLEDUIGUONEISHICHANGDECHONGJI;DIANCHANGKUCUNXIAJIANG,JIEDUANXINGBUKU,LAMEIJIJIXINGTIGAO。TONGSHI,NANFANGZHUJIANJINRUKUSHUIQI,SHUIDIANYONGMEIXUQIUJIANRUO;ZHEJIANGDENGDIWAIGOUDIANYOUSUOJIANSHAO,BENDIHUODIANFADIANYOUSUOTISHENG。CONGHONGGUANJINGJIYUNXINGLAIKAN,GUOJIABUDUANBAN、QIANGJIJIANDENGYIXILIEZHENGCEDESHISHILADONGLETOUZIZENGSUHUISHENG,GONGYEYONGDIANHUIFU,DAIDONGSHICHANGMEILAYUNLIANGZENGJIA。TONGSHI,YOUYUQUNUANJIDAOLAI,DIANCHANGHAOMEISHULIANGDAFUZENGJIA,YANHAIMEITANYUNSHUQUXIANGFANMANG。YOUQISHIJINRU12YUEFEN,HAOMEILIANGZENGJIA,YANHAI6DADIANCHANGRIHAOMEILIANGJINYIBUTISHENG,“BEIMEINANYUN”GENGJIAFANMANG。JINGUANDIANCHANGGAOKUCUNXIANXIANGYIRANCUNZAI,DANYINRIHAOMEILIANGZENGJIA,CUNMEIKEYONGTIANSHUDAFUXIAJIANG;JIAZHIJINKOUMEIBUCHONGZUOYONGRUOHUA,LIHAOYINSUDIEJIA,CUSHIDUIGUONEIMEITANXUQIUXIANGYINGZENGJIA,SHICHANGXUQIUJIBENMIANDEDAOGAISHAN。YANHAIMEITANSHICHANGYOUQIANYIJIEDUANDEGONGDAYUQIUZHUANWEIGONGQIUPINGHENG。11YUEZUIHOUYIZHOU,GUONEIDONGLIMEIHEJIAOMEISHICHANGZHENGTIQUWENYUNXING,JUBUQUYUCHUXIANSHANGZHANGXINGQING。12YUEFEN,MEITANSHICHANGHUOJIANGYINGLAIYIBOFANDAN,MEITANGONGXU“SHUANGGAO”JIANGZAIXIAN,MEITANJIAGEJIANGYINGLAIYIXIAOBOFANDAN。

 

五大因素影響2020年煤炭市場

 

DUIYU2020NIANDEMEITANSHICHANG,BIZHERENWEI,JINHOUYIGESHIQI,SUIZHUMEIKUANGXINZENGCHANNENGJIXUSHIFANG,XINNENGYUANFAZHANSHUIPINGCHIXUTISHENG,MEITANSHICHANGGONGGEIJIANGJINYIBUXIANGKUANSONGFANGXIANGZHUANBIAN。TONGSHI,MEITANJINGJIYUNXINGCUNZAIXIAXINGYALI,HANDONGSHIJIEMEIJIAZHANGFUYOUXIAN,MINGNIANMEIJIAYEBUHUIDAQIDALUO,ZHAIFUZHENDANGSHICHANGTAI。ZHENGTILAIKAN,MINGNIANMEISHIJIAGEZHONGXINJIXUXIAYIDEKENENGXINGJIAODA。RIQIAN,ZAIGUANGZHOUJUBANDEDIQIJIEGUOJIDONGLIMEIZIYUANYUSHICHANGGAOFENGLUNTANSHANG,YOUGUANYENEIRENSHIYUJI,2019NIANQUANNIANCCI5500DONGLIMEIJIAGEZHISHUJUNJIAWEI593YUAN/DUN,JIAO2018NIANJUNJIAXIADIE61YUAN/DUN;2020NIANDONGLIMEIJIAGEZHONGXINJIXUXIAYIZHI540YUAN/DUN,JIAO2019NIANXIAJIANG53YUAN/DUN。JUTIYINGXIANGYINSUYOU:

 

YISHIGUOJIANENGYUANZHENGCE。JINNIAN10YUE11RI,GUOWUYUANZONGLILIKEQIANGZHUCHIZHAOKAIGUOJIANENGYUANWEIYUANHUIHUIYI,SHENYITONGGUOTUIDONGNENGYUANGAOZHILIANGFAZHANSHISHIYIJIAN,BUSHUJINDONGMINGCHUNBAONUANBAOGONGGONGZUO。LIKEQIANGZHICHU,GENJUWOGUOYIMEIWEIZHUDENENGYUANZIYUANBINGFU,KEXUEGUIHUAMEITANKAIFABUJU,JIAKUAISHUMEISHUDIANDATONGDAOJIANSHE,TUIDONGMEITANANQUANLVSEKAICAIHEMEIDIANQINGJIEGAOXIAOFAZHAN,YOUXIAOKAIFALIYONGMEICENGQI。LIKEQIANGBIAOSHI,YAOQIESHIZHUAHAOBAONUANBAOGONGGONGZUO,CONGSHIJICHUFA,YIDIANZEDIAN、YIQIZEQI、YIMEIZEMEI;TUCHUZUOHAODONGBEISANSHENGGONGNUANYONGMEIBAOZHANG;DUOCUOBINGJU,QUEBAORENMINQUNZHONGWENNUANGUODONG;HONGGUANZHENGCECENGMIANBIAOMING,GONGNUANYONGMEIXUQIUJIANGZENGJIA,DUIMEISHIYUNXINGQIDAOZHONGYAOZHICHENGZUOYONG。

 

ERSHIMEIDIANJIAGELIANDONGJIZHIXIEMU,GAIWEI“JIZHUNJIA+SHANGXIAFUDONG”DESHICHANGHUAJIZHI。JINRI,GUOWUYUANCHANGWUHUIYIJUEDING,CONG2020NIAN1YUE1RIQI,DUISHANGWEISHIXIANSHICHANGHUAJIAOYIDERANMEIFADIANDIANLIANG,QUXIAOMEIDIANJIAGELIANDONGJIZHI,JIANGXIANXINGBIAOGANSHANGWANGDIANJIAJIZHI,GAIWEI“JIZHUNJIA+SHANGXIAFUDONG”DESHICHANGHUAJIZHI。GENJUXINZHENG,JIZHUNJIAANGEDIXIANXINGRANMEIFADIANBIAOGANSHANGWANGDIANJIAQUEDING,FUDONGFANWEIWEISHANGFUBUCHAOGUO10%、XIAFUBUCHAOGUO15%,JUTIDIANJIAYOUFADIANQIYE、SHOUDIANGONGSI、DIANLIYONGHUDENGTONGGUOXIESHANGHUOJINGJIAQUEDING。SUIZHUXINZHENGDECHUTAI,YANXULE15NIANDEMEIDIANLIANDONGJIAGEXIEDIAOJIZHIDELISHISHIMINGYIJIBENWANCHENG。CICIJIZHUNJIADESHEZHIYOULIYUYINDAOMEITANSHICHANGGONGXU,WEISHICHANGTANPANHUOSHUANGBIANQIANHETONGSUZAOYUQI,ZHENGFUBUZAIGANYUBIAOGANDIANJIA,JIANGJIAKUAIMEIDIANLUOHOUCHANNENGDECHUQINGSUDU。WEILAI,YIDAPIJINGZHENGLIBUZUDEMEIDIANQIYEJIANGHUIBEIZHENGHEHUOCHUJU。

 

SANSHIWOGUOMEITANGONGXUDIYUYOUGUOQUDEFENSANXINGXIANGQUKUAIJIZHONGHUAZHUANBIAN。ZHONGGUOMEITANGONGYINGDIDATIKEHUAFENWEISANDAQUKUAI:2018NIANTONGJI,DIYIGECHANMEIQUKUAISHISHANXI、SHANXI、NEIMENGGU、NINGXIA、XINJIANGQUKUAI,MEITANZONGCHANLIANGYUEZHANQUANGUOZONGCHANLIANGDE71%;DIERGECHANMEIQUKUAISHISHANDONG、HENAN、HEBEI、ANHUI、JIANGSU、DONGBEISANSHENG,MEITANZONGCHANLIANGZHANQUANGUOZONGCHANLIANGDE14.27%;DISANGECHANMEIQUKUAISHISICHUAN、ZHONGQING、YUNNAN、GUIZHOU、GANSU、HUNAN、HUBEI、FUJIAN、GUANGXI、JIANGXI、QINGHAIDENGDI,MEITANZONGCHANLIANGZHANQUANGUOZONGCHANLIANGDE8.3%。JUFENXI,WEILAI,DIER、DISANGECHANMEIQUKUAIDEMEITANCHANLIANGJIANGZHUJIANDIJIAN,ERDIYIGECHANMEIQUKUAIDEMEITANCHANLIANGJIANGZHUJIANZENGJIA。YOUCIKEYIRENDING,WOGUOMEITANGONGXUQUKUAIHUAHENIXIANGFENBUZHUANGKUANGYICHENGDINGJU。MEITANCHANNENGSHULIANGBAOZHANG、TIEDAOYUNSHUDATONGDAOWANGGOUJIAN、ZHENGCEDIAOKONGGONGJUDEPEITAODENG“RUAN”“YING”TIAOJIANDERIJIANWANSHANYUGONGGU,JIANGJIDABAOZHENGWEILAIXIANGDANGCHANGSHIQINEIWOGUOMEITANSHICHANGDEPINGWENYUNXING。JINHOUHUOXUHUANHUICHUXIANMEITANQUYUXING、SHIDUANXINGDEGONGXUMAODUN,DANZONGTIERYAN,WEILAIMEITANGONGXUGUANXIKEKONG,BUHUICHUXIANDAMIANJIHECHANGSHIQIMEITANSHICHANGGONGXUGUANXIDABODONGHESHICHANGMEIJIADAZHANGDALUODEZHUANGKUANG。

 

SISHIMEITANSHANGXIAYOUCHANYELIANMINGYUNGONGTONGTIYISHIZHUJIANXINGCHENG。WANSHANMEITANZHONGCHANGQIJIAOYIZHIDU、CUJINSHANGXIAYOUGONGYINGKECHIXUFAZHAN,SHITUIJINMEITANXINGYEZHILITIXIHEZHILINENGLIXIANDAIHUADEYOUXIAOTUJING。

 

11YUE19RI,2020NIANMEIGANGJIAOZHONGCHANGQIHETONGQIATANXIANJIEHUIZAIGUANGXINANNINGZHAOKAI。HUISHANG,8JIALIANJIAOMEIQIYEFACHUCHANGYI,ZUOZHONGCHANGQIHETONGZHIDUDEJIANDINGZHIXINGZHEHESHENHUAGONGGEICEJIEGOUXINGGAIGEDEJIANXINGZHE,HELIDAZAOMEIGANGJIAOCHANYELIANHEZUOSHENGJIBAN,TONGSHIBAOHUXINGKAICAILIYONGXIQUELIANJIAOMEIZIYUAN,JIAKUAITUIJINLIANJIAOMEISHENGCHANHEJISHUGEMING。ZHONGGUOJIAOMEIPINPAIJIQUNSHIFANZUOYONGTUXIAN,MEITANSHANGXIAYOUCHANYELIANMINGYUNGONGTONGTIYISHIZHUJIANXINGCHENG。2018NIANXIABANNIANZHI2019NIAN,ZHONGCHANGQIHETONGJIAGEPUBIANBAOCHIZAIHELIQUJIAN,YOULIDIYINDAO、YINGXIANGLEDIFANGMEIHEJINKOUMEIBAOCHIZAIXIANGDUIWENDINGDEZHUANGTAI。

 

WUSHIMEITANJINGJIYUNXINGCUNZAIXIAXINGYALI。ZAI12YUE4RIJUBANDE2020NIANDUQUANGUOMEITANJIAOYIHUISHANG,ZHONGGUOMEITANGONGYEXIEHUIDANGWEISHUJI、HUICHANGLIANGJIAKUNBIAOSHI,DANGQIANMEITANXINGYEGAOZHILIANGFAZHANDEPINGJINGWENTIYIRANTUCHU,MEITANYINGJIGONGYINGBAOZHANGNANDUJIADA,MEITANJINGJIYUNXINGCUNZAIXIAXINGYALI,TIZHIJIZHICHUANGXINYUGONGGEICEJIEGOUXINGGAIGEXIETONGXIAOYINGYOUDAITIGAO,MEITANQIYESHUIFEIFUDANZHONGDEWENTITUCHU,LAOKUANGQUMEITANQIYEZHUANXINGFAZHANMIANLINZHUDUOKUNNAN。

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